Minnesota Poll results: COVID, Walz approval

• Poll analysis: Walz's approval dips as COVID-19 concerns increase Previous poll results Methodology

Do you approve or disapprove of Tim Walz's job performance as governor?

Approve Disapprove Not sure 57% 36% 7% Approve Disapprove Not sure TOTAL 57% 36% 7% Hennepin/ Ramsey 72% 22% 6% Rest of metro 48 44 8 Southern Minn. 57 37 6 Northern Minn. 46 48 6 Men 53 41 6 Women 61 32 7 DFL/ Democrat 83 10 7 Republican 27 67 6 Independent/ other 59 35 6 18-34 68 23 9 35-49 52 42 6 50-64 54 39 7 65+ 60 36 4 No college degree 52 42 6 College graduate 64 31 5 Biden voters 92 3 5 Trump voters 20 78 2 Approve Disapprove Not sure 65% 30% 5% Approve Disapprove Not sure Hennepin/ Ramsey 74% 22% 4% Rest of metro 65 31 4 Southern Minn. 55 39 6 Northern Minn. 61 32 7 Men 58 37 5 Women 71 23 6 DFL/ Democrat 93 4 3 Republican 33 61 6 Independent/ other 65 28 7 18-34 68 23 9 35-49 68 30 2 50-64 65 29 6 65+ 58 35 6 Under $50,000 67 27 6 $50,000+ 63 33 4 No college degree 61 33 6 College graduate 70 26 4 Star Tribune/MPR News/KARE 11 Minnesota Poll, May 18-20, 2020, 800 registered voters. If a vaccine for the coronavirus becomes available with approval from the government and support from scientists, will you immediately get vaccinated, or not?

Yes,
I will No,
I will not Not sure 48% 43% 9% Yes,
I will No,
I will not Not
sure TOTAL 49% 41% 10% Hennepin/ Ramsey 55% 35% 10% Rest of metro 49 42 9 Southern Minn. 43 46 11 Northern Minn. 40 54 6 Men 48 41 11 Women 47 45 8 DFL/ Democrat 54 38 8 Republican 42 51 7 Independent/ other 46 41 13 18-34 49 44 7 35-49 42 46 12 50-64 55 38 7 65+ 45 44 11 No college degree 43 48 9 College graduate 52 38 10 Biden voters 59 31 10 Trump voters 38 53 9 Do you personally know anyone who has tested positive for the coronavirus, or not?

Yes No 67% 33% Yes No TOTAL 39% 55% Hennepin/ Ramsey 70% 30% Rest of metro 68 32 Southern Minn. 63 37 Northern Minn. 62 38 Men 66 34 Women 67 33 DFL/ Democrat 71 29 Republican 62 38 Independent/ other 67 33 18-34 71 29 35-49 69 31 50-64 66 34 65+ 61 39 No college degree 66 34 College graduate 66 34 Biden voters 72 28 Trump voters 55 45 Yes No 35% 65% Yes No TOTAL 35% 65% Hennepin/ Ramsey 39% 61% Rest of metro 32 68 Southern Minn. 32 68 Northern Minn. 36 64 Men 34 66 Women 36 64 DFL/ Democrat 39 61 Republican 30 70 Independent/ other 37 63 18-34 33 67 35-49 36 64 50-64 35 65 65+ 34 66 Under $50,000 37 63 $50,000 + 34 66 No college degree 32 68 College graduate 39 61 Star Tribune/MPR News/KARE 11 Minnesota Poll, May 18-20, 2020, 800 registered voters. How worried are you about becoming seriously ill from the coronavirus?

Very
worried Somewhat
worried Not too
worried Not at all
worried 17% 34% 26% 23% Very worried Somewhat worried Not too worried Not at all worried TOTAL 17% 34% 26% 23% Hennepin/ Ramsey 20% 40% 25% 15% Rest of metro 19 30 26 25 Southern Minn. 19 30 24 27 Northern Minn. 10 35 27 28 Men 16 31 27 26 Women 18 38 24 20 DFL/ Democrat 25 46 21 8 Republican 9 21 34 36 Independent/ other 17 34 22 27 18-34 18 38 28 16 35-49 19 31 22 28 50-64 15 35 30 20 65+ 17 36 22 25 No college degree 18 30 26 26 College graduate 17 39 24 20 Biden voters 23 50 24 3 Trump voters 9 14 31 46 How worried, if at all, are you about becoming seriously ill from the coronavirus?

Very
worried Somewhat
worried Not too
worried Not at all
worried 10% 34% 31% 25% Very worried Somewhat worried Not too worried Not at all worried TOTAL 17% 34% 26% 23% Hennepin/ Ramsey 15% 37% 29% 19% Rest of metro 12 34 28 26 Southern Minn. 4 29 33 34 Northern Minn. 5 32 38 25 Men 6 30 36 28 Women 13 37 27 23 DFL/ Democrat 22 45 20 13 Republican - 18 42 40 Independent/ other 6 37 33 24 18-34 9 34 33 24 35-49 10 34 29 27 50-64 10 32 34 24 65+ 10 32 31 27 Under $50,000 9 39 29 23 $50,000+ 10 30 32 28 No college degree 9 32 32 27 College graduate 11 34 31 24 Star Tribune/MPR News/KARE 11 Minnesota Poll, May 18-20, 2020, 800 registered voters. About the poll

The findings of this Star Tribune/MPR News/KARE 11 Minnesota Poll are based on live interviews conducted Sept. 21 to Sept. 23 with 800 Minnesota voters who indicated they were "likely to vote" in the November general election. The poll was conducted for the Star Tribune, Minnesota Public Radio News and KARE 11 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Strategy Inc. The sample for this survey was drawn from a Mason-Dixon database that includes approximately 2.2 million registered Minnesota voters who are matched with a telephone number – either a land line, a cell phone or both. A random sample of 100,000 voters from unique households with unique phones was drawn from this database for use in calling on this poll. Those interviewed were randomly selected by computer from this phone-matched Minnesota voter registration file with quotas assigned to generally reflect the state's voter turnout distribution by county. For example, Hennepin County and Ramsey County combined accounted for 32.3% of the statewide vote in the 2016 presidential election, and accordingly 32.5% of the survey interviews were completed there. The interviews were conducted via land line (28%) and cellphone (72%). The margin of sampling error for this sample of 800 likely voters, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than ± 3.5 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed. The margin of error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or age grouping. The self-identified party affiliation of the respondents is 38% Democrats, 34% Republicans and 28% independents or other. Sampling error does not take into account other sources of variation inherent in public opinion surveys, such as nonresponse, question wording or context effects. In addition, news events may have affected opinions during the period the poll was taken. The demographic profile of this poll of likely voters is an accurate reflection of their respective voter populations. This determination is based on more than 100 statewide polls conducted by Mason-Dixon in Minnesota over the past 32 years – a period that spans eight presidential election cycles that began in 1988. Readers can e-mail questions to matt.delong@startribune.com. Demographic breakdown of this polling sample